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Multi-Timeframe Drummond Patches and JEPA Pre-Training for Short-Term Retail OHLC Series Forecasting

https://doi.org/10.26907/1562-5419-2026-29-1-351-367

Abstract


We propose a method for constructing scale-invariant representations of retail revenue time series based on three-bar Drummond Geometry (DG) computed over three adjacent periods, extended with a multi-timeframe context (day, partial calendar week, and a rolling 7-day window). Self-supervised pre-training on these “patches” is performed using a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) with spatiotemporal masking, followed by fine-tuning with output heads that quantify predictive uncertainty for next-day and next-week forecasts. The work analyzes the properties of affine invariance of the features and the identifiability of the weekly phase; empirical improvement over strong baseline models on real-world data is demonstrated.

About the Authors

Alexander Semenovich Sizov
Southwest State University
Russian Federation


Yuri Alekseevich Khalin
Southwest State University
Russian Federation


Artem Aleksandrovich Belykh
Southwest State University
Russian Federation


References

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Review

For citations:


Sizov A.S., Khalin Yu.A., Belykh A.A. Multi-Timeframe Drummond Patches and JEPA Pre-Training for Short-Term Retail OHLC Series Forecasting. Russian Digital Libraries Journal. 2026;29(1):351-367. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26907/1562-5419-2026-29-1-351-367

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ISSN 1562-5419 (Online)