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Variations in Microseismic Noise Spectra as a Forecast Parameter of Earthquakes in the Baikal Rift System

https://doi.org/10.26907/1562-5419-2025-28-4-727-739

Abstract


This paper examines the microseismic noise spectra a few hours before moderate and strong seismic events. Forty earthquakes with an energy class of K=9.5–14.5 at epicentral distances of 10 to 120 km were considered. A statistically significant increase in the spectral power density (SPD) was detected in the 0.8–2.4 Hz range. Machine learning methods were used to construct a binary classification model that allows detection of earthquake preparations a few hours before an event based on microseismic SPD values in the specified frequency range.

About the Authors

Lyudmila Petrovna Braginskaya
Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics SB RAS
Russian Federation


Andrey Pavlovich Grigoryuk
Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics SB RAS
Russian Federation


Valeriy Viktorovich Kovalevskiy
Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics SB RAS
Russian Federation


Anna Alexandrovna Dobrynina
Institute of the Earth's Crust SB RAS
Russian Federation


Matvey Sergeevich Kim
Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics SB RAS
Russian Federation


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For citations:


Braginskaya L.P., Grigoryuk A.P., Kovalevskiy V.V., Dobrynina A.A., Kim M.S. Variations in Microseismic Noise Spectra as a Forecast Parameter of Earthquakes in the Baikal Rift System . Russian Digital Libraries Journal. 2025;28(4):727-739. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26907/1562-5419-2025-28-4-727-739

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ISSN 1562-5419 (Online)